英语翻译德尔菲法的具体实施步骤 1.组成专家小组.按照课题所需要的知识范围,确定专家.专家人数的多少,可根据预测课题的大

babylihongxia2022-10-04 11:39:544条回答

英语翻译
德尔菲法的具体实施步骤
1.组成专家小组.按照课题所需要的知识范围,确定专家.专家人数的多少,可根据预测课题的大小和涉及面的宽窄而定,一般不超过20人.
2.向所有专家提出所要预测的问题及有关要求,并附上有关这个问题的所有背景材料,同时请专家提出还需要什么材料.然后,由专家做书面答复
3.各个专家根据他们所收到的材料,提出自己的预测意见,并说明自己是怎样利用这些材料并提出预测值的.
4.将各位专家第一次判断意见汇总,列成图表,进行对比,再分发给各位专家,让专家比较自己同他人的不同意见,修改自己的意见和判断.也可以把各位专家的意见加以整理,或请身份更高的其他专家加以评论,然后把这些意见再分送给各位专家,以便他们参考后修改自己的意见.
5.将所有专家的修改意见收集起来,汇总,再次分发给各位专家,以便做第二次修改.逐轮收集意见并为专家反馈信息是德尔菲法的主要环节.收集意见和信息反馈一般要经过三、四轮.在向专家进行反馈的时候,只给出各种意见,但并不说明发表各种意见的专家的具体姓名.这一过程重复进行,直到每一个专家不再改变自己的意见为止.
6.对专家的意见进行综合处理.

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xngtyj 共回答了18个问题 | 采纳率100%
德尔菲法的具体实施步骤
Delphi method the specific implementation steps
1.组成专家小组.按照课题所需要的知识范围,确定专家.专家人数的多少,可根据预测课题的大小和涉及面的宽窄而定,一般不超过20人.
1.The composition of the Panel of Experts.In accordance with the subject knowledge needed to identify experts.The number of experts the number of prediction tasks in accordance with the size and covers the width may be,there is generally no more than 20 people.
2.向所有专家提出所要预测的问题及有关要求,并附上有关这个问题的所有背景材料,同时请专家提出还需要什么材料.然后,由专家做书面答复
2.To all the experts to the prediction problem and the relevant requirements,together with all the questions on the background material,at the same time requested the experts what the material is also required.And,make a written reply by experts
3.各个专家根据他们所收到的材料,提出自己的预测意见,并说明自己是怎样利用这些材料并提出预测值的.
3.All experts received in accordance with their materials,make their own prediction,and note that he is how to make use of these materials and value prediction.
4.将各位专家第一次判断意见汇总,列成图表,进行对比,再分发给各位专家,让专家比较自己同他人的不同意见,修改自己的意见和判断.也可以把各位专家的意见加以整理,或请身份更高的其他专家加以评论,然后把这些意见再分送给各位专家,以便他们参考后修改自己的意见.
4.That the experts will judge the first views of aggregated列成charts,comparison,and then distributed to the experts,for experts to compare their different views with others,modify their own views and judgments.Can also put you to collate the views of experts,or higher identity with other experts to comment on,and then put these views and then sent to the experts so that they refer to revise their views after.
5.将所有专家的修改意见收集起来,汇总,再次分发给各位专家,以便做第二次修改.逐轮收集意见并为专家反馈信息是德尔菲法的主要环节.收集意见和信息反馈一般要经过三、四轮.在向专家进行反馈的时候,只给出各种意见,但并不说明发表各种意见的专家的具体姓名.这一过程重复进行,直到每一个专家不再改变自己的意见为止.
5.To modify the views of all the experts collected,summarized,once again distributed to the experts,in order to make a second revision.Round by round for the experts to gather views and feedback are the main aspect of the Delphi method.To collect views and information feedback in general has to go through three,four-wheel.Feedback to the experts at the time,only give a variety of views,but does not reflect the various opinions of experts issued a specific name.This process is repeated until each is no longer an expert to change his views so far.
6.对专家的意见进行综合处理.
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